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An Examination of Fault,
Unsafe Driving Acts, and Total Harm in Car-Truck Collisions
FHWA-HRT-04-085
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Table of Contents
The Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) has given
high priority to research regarding collisions between large trucks
(gross vehicle weight > 4,540 kilograms (10,000 pounds)) and other
vehicles on the roadway. This research aims to improve knowledge about
the high-risk behaviors of truck and passenger vehicle (car)
drivers.
In 1998, large trucks accounted for 7 percent of the total vehicle
miles traveled but were involved in 13 percent of all traffic fatalities
(5,374 of 41,471). In these truck crashes, the car's occupants were much
more likely than the truck driver to be killed (78 percent of the
fatalities were car occupants) or injured (76 percent of the injuries
were sustained by car occupants).(1)
Two-thirds of all police-reported truck crashes involved a truck and
another vehicle, and 60 percent of all truck crashes involving a
fatality were two-vehicle car-truck crashes. (2)
To address this critical issue, FMCSA has set a goal to reduce
truck-involved fatal crashes by 41 percent by 2008. Meeting this goal
will require improving truck safety and enhancing truck and car drivers'
behavior and performance.
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Literature Review
A major driver behavior issue in car-truck crashes concerns fault—the
relative contribution of truck vs. car drivers. In 1998, Blower analyzed
more than 5,400 fatal car-truck crashes from 1994–95, examining Fatality
Analysis Reporting System (FARS) records of driver-related factors,
pre-crash movements, and vehicle positions.(2)
According to this analysis, the car driver's behavior was more than
three times as likely to contribute to the fatal crash than was the
truck driver's behavior. In addition, the car driver was solely
responsible for 70 percent of the fatal crashes, compared to 16 percent
for the truck driver. Blower could not replicate the analysis for
nonfatal crashes, because the National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration's (NHTSA) National Automotive Sampling System General
Estimates System (NASS-GES) only contained contributing-factor data for
cases in which a citation was written (approximately one-third of
nonfatal crashes recorded in the system).
Stuster concentrated his analysis on the issue of unsafe driving acts
(UDAs) in car-truck crashes, studying UDAs of car drivers.(3)
Two sets of experts—police crash investigators and truck
drivers—generated a list of critical UDAs, or car-driver behaviors, that
could lead to crashes. Stuster then reviewed more than 1,000 crash
reports from 7 States; this produced primary collision factors that very
closely matched the list from the experts as well as driver-related
factors in FARS. Twenty-five experts then ranked, from highest to
lowest, the combined list of 26 UDAs on both estimated relative
frequency and relative severity, as shown in table 1.
Table 1. Experts' ranking of criticality of
UDAs based on danger and frequency (from Stuster(3))
| RANK |
UNSAFE DRIVING ACT |
| 1 |
Driving inattentively (e.g., reading, talking on the phone,
fatigue-induced) |
| 2 |
Merging improperly into traffic, causing a truck to maneuver
or brake quickly |
| 3 |
Failure to stop for a stop sign or light (also, early or late
through a signal) |
| 4 |
Failure to slow down in a construction zone |
| 5 |
Unsafe speed (e.g., approaching too fast from the
rear/misjudging truck's speed) |
| 6 |
Following too closely |
| 7 |
Failure to slow down in response to environmental conditions
(e.g., fog, rain, smoke, bright sun) |
| 8 |
Changing lanes abruptly in front of a truck |
| 9 |
Driving in the "no zones" (left rear quarter, right front
quarter, and directly behind) |
| 10 |
Unsafe turning, primarily turning with insufficient headway
|
| 11 |
Unsafe passing, primarily passing with insufficient headway
|
| 12 |
Pulling into traffic from roadside in front of truck without
accelerating sufficiently |
| 13 |
Driving while impaired by alcohol or other drug |
| 14 |
Changing lanes in front of a truck, then braking (for traffic,
obstacle, toll gate, etc.) |
| 15 |
Unsafe crossing, primarily crossing traffic with insufficient
headway |
| 16 |
Driving left of center into opposing traffic |
| 17 |
Failure to permit a truck to merge |
| 18 |
Failure to discern that the trailer of a maneuvering truck is
blocking the roadway |
| 19 |
Nearly striking the front or rear of a truck or trailer while
changing lanes |
| 20 |
Maneuvering to the right of a truck that is making a right
turn (the "right-turn squeeze") |
| 21 |
Operating at dawn or dusk without headlights |
| 22 |
Crossing a lane line near the side of a truck or trailer while
passing |
| 23 |
Driving between large trucks |
| 24 |
Nearly striking the rear of a truck or trailer that is stopped
or moving slowing in traffic |
| 25 |
Nearly striking an unattended or parked truck at roadside
|
| 26 |
Abandoning vehicle in travel lane or impeding
traffic |
In other UDA-related research, Kostyniuk, Streff, and Zarajsek used
1995–98 FARS data to identify car-truck UDAs and compare UDAs in
car-truck crashes with those in car-car crashes.(4)
The study concluded that most driving behaviors are equally likely to be
recorded for fatal car-car crashes as for fatal car-truck crashes. Only
four factors (out of 94) were more likely to occur in fatal car-truck
crashes—following improperly, driving while drowsy or fatigued, changing
lanes improperly, and driving with vision obscured by rain, snow, fog,
or dust. However, only about 5 percent of all car-truck crashes in the
database included these four factors.
In summary, the past literature indicates that fault is more likely
to be attributed to car drivers than to truck drivers in fatal crashes,
but there is a need for information on assigned fault in nonfatal/total
crashes. In addition, although researchers used a sample of 1,000
crashes to verify previously identified UDAs, final UDA rankings were
based on expert opinion. There is a need to further verify these
findings with crash data, where possible. Finally, none of the previous
studies has associated critical crash types or maneuvers with specific
roadway characteristics. Such an analysis could help define new
roadway-based countermeasures and inform efforts to improve driver
behaviors and vehicle performance. This current study attempts to meet
these needs.
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Methodology
Databases Used
Because the goal of this fault analysis was to examine driver
contributions for all crashes rather than just fatal ones, researchers
used the North Carolina database in the Highway Safety Information
System (HSIS). Researchers also used these files to link crash data with
roadway inventory data to analyze critical crash type/roadway
characteristics.
To validate the UDA listing and ranking from the earlier study,
researchers used the 1999 NASS-GES data, which contained 9,136 raw
car-truck crashes. Using the GES weights, this total sample is estimated
to represent 268,914 car-truck crashes.
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Analysis Methods
Fault Analysis
In the 16,264 car-truck crashes in the 1994–97 North Carolina HSIS
files, the investigating officer assigned one or more contributing
factors (from a list of 26 factors) to one or both drivers in more than
97 percent of the cases. Contributing factors included such things as
driving under the influence and improper equipment. In this analysis,
fault was assigned if any factor was coded for a given driver. A
contingency table analysis examined the percentage of total cases in
which:
- Only the truck driver was at fault.
- Only the car driver was at fault.
- Both truck and car drivers were at fault.
- Neither driver was at fault.
Differences between the at-fault percentages found here and in the
earlier fatal crash studies were explored.
Crash-Based Validation of UDAs
Using Stuster's listing of 26 UDAs, researchers examined the GES
coding definitions for the complete set of NASS-GES crash, vehicle, and
driver variables to try to match each UDA with a definable subset of
crash data. For example, for "abandoning vehicle in travel lane," the
accident-type variable was used to identify crashes in which the truck
was moving forward, and "event" data were used to find cases in which a
car in the travel lane was without a driver. With other UDAs, the choice
of subset was not well defined (e.g., "inattentive driving").
Only 17 of the 26 UDAs could be matched with crash subsets. This does
not imply that the other nine are not important, only that there was no
well-defined crash subset based on available GES variables.
For UDAs for which a valid subset of crashes could be identified,
researchers extracted information about crash frequency and severity.
These subsets then were ranked based on frequency of car-truck crashes
and the percentage of serious or fatal crashes in the subset. The two
rankings were combined and compared to Stuster's ranking.
Critical Combinations of Crash and Roadway Location Types
The goal of this analysis was to use the 1994–97 North Carolina HSIS
car-truck crash data to identify critical combinations of crash and
roadway location factors (combinations that produce the greatest amount
of harm) that would help highway officials prioritize areas for applying
existing treatments or developing new countermeasures.
Car-truck crashes are more severe than other types of crashes, and
some potentially important subsets may be characterized either by low
frequency, high severity (e.g., head-on crashes) or by high frequency,
low severity (e.g., rear-end crashes). Therefore, to identify potential
treatment targets, it is important to combine crash frequency and
severity in the analysis, and to use both simultaneously to avoid
biasing the outcome by choosing one or the other first. To do this,
researchers defined a measure of comprehensive cost associated with the
driver-injury severity for each vehicle in a crash. The dollar values
for the injuries sustained by the truck and car drivers in each crash
were added to get the total crash harm cost. Costs were based on
guidance from the Office of the Secretary of Transportation combined
with information from a recent study of crash cost conducted by Blincoe,
et al. for NHTSA:(5)
|
|
$3 million |
|
|
$63,000 |
- No injury (cost per vehicle)
(Thus, $4,500 for two
vehicles) |
$2,250 |
This calculated harm cost then was attached to each of the 16,264
car-truck crash records. To identify critical combinations, the records
were categorized into a 462-cell matrix based on the descriptors of 11
facility types, 7 crash types, and 6 location types (see table 4 on p.
7). A regression model was used to smooth the estimate of harm cost
within each of the cells where adequate data existed. Researchers then
calculated the total harm cost for each combination by multiplying this
average crash harm cost for a cell by the frequency of crashes in that
cell. The cells producing the highest total harm cost defined the most
critical combinations of facility type, crash type, and location
type.
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Results
Fault Analysis
Table 2 provides the distributions of fault by crash type for the
16,264 North Carolina car-truck crashes. The results differ
significantly at times from the earlier cited findings in which the car
driver alone was at fault in 70 percent of all fatal car-truck
crashes.
Table 2. Fault for truck and car drivers by
crash type (North Carolina car-truck crashes, 1994–97)
| Crash Type |
Truck At Fault |
Car At Fault |
Both At Fault |
Neither At Fault |
Total |
| Rear-end slow |
2,127 (50.7%) |
1,722 (41.0%) |
258 (6.1%) |
92 (2.2%) |
4,199 |
| Rear-end turn |
203 (51.5%) |
142 (36.0%) |
42 (10.7%) |
7 (1.8%) |
394 |
| Left turn—both same roadway |
646 (45.4%) |
549 (38.6%) |
200 (14.1%) |
28 (2.0%) |
1,423 |
| Left turn—crossing traffic |
413 (42.9%) |
466 (48.4%) |
67 (7.0%) |
16 (1.7%) |
962 |
| Right turn—both same roadway |
330 (43.1%) |
272 (35.5%) |
142 (18.5%) |
22 (2.9%) |
766 |
| Right turn—crossing traffic |
135 (36.2%) |
203 (54.4%) |
27 (7.2%) |
8 (2.1%) |
373 |
| Head-on |
50 (22.5%) |
158 (71.2%) |
9 (4.1%) |
5 (2.3%) |
222 |
| Sideswipe |
1,813 (51.1%) |
1,246 (35.1%) |
380 (10.7%) |
109 (3.1%) |
3,548 |
| Angle |
1,371 (39.3%) |
1,690 (48.5%) |
276 (7.9%) |
150 (4.3%) |
3,487 |
| Backing |
725 (81.5%) |
86 (9.7%) |
52 (5.8%) |
27 (3.0%) |
890 |
| Total |
7,813 (48.0%) |
6,534 (40.2%) |
1,453 (8.9%) |
464 (2.9%) |
16,264 |
As shown in the bottom ("total") row of the table, the truck driver
is more likely to be assigned fault overall—48.0 percent vs. 40.2
percent for the car driver. As might be expected, the highest category
of truck fault is the less-severe "backing" category (i.e., 82 percent
vs. 10 percent for car drivers). The truck driver is also more likely to
be at fault in both categories of rear-end crashes, right-turn crashes
involving vehicles on the same road, left-turn crashes involving an
opposing vehicle on the same road, and sideswipe crashes. These findings
are in contrast to the fatal crash findings in which car drivers were
assigned a contributing factor two to four times more often than were
truck drivers in all crash types.(2)
Car drivers are still more likely to be assigned a fault factor in
head-on crashes, angle crashes, right-turn crashes involving crossing
traffic, and left-turn crashes involving vehicles on the crossing road.
Although a bias in crash reporting could be responsible for part of this
overrepresentation of car driver fault (because the car driver is more
likely to be killed in these crashes), car drivers are more likely to be
at fault than truck drivers even in the nonfatal cases examined
here.
Crash-Based Validation of UDAs
As noted above, crash subsets were only identified for 17 of the 26
UDAs in Stuster's report.(3)
Eight of these fell in the top half of the experts' ranking, as shown in
table 3.
Table 3. Crash totals, percentages, and
rankings for UDAs where GES data were sufficient
| Unsafe Driving Acts |
Percent of Total Car-Truck
Crashes |
Percent of Serious or Fatal
Crashes |
Combined GES Rank |
Expert Ranking (Stuster, 1999) |
| Original |
Adjusted* |
| Judgement Problems |
| Failure to stop for a
stop sign or signal |
0.9 |
20.0 |
Tie 4 |
3 |
2 |
| Driving while impaired
by alcohol or other drug |
1.7 |
19.2 |
Tie 14 |
14 |
9 |
| Maneuvering to the
right of a truck that is making a right turn (the “right-turn
squeeze”) |
3.0 |
3.1 |
12 |
20 |
13 |
| Nearly striking the
rear of a truck or trailer that is stopped or moving slowly in
traffic |
5.4 |
8.9 |
Tie 4 |
24 |
15 |
| Nearly striking an
unattended or parked truck at roadside |
0.0 |
9.9 |
Tie 14 |
25 |
16 |
| Speed-Related Problems |
| Failure to slow down
in a construction zone |
0.0 |
0.0 |
17 |
4 |
3 |
| Unsafe speed |
5.2 |
14.5 |
Tie 1 |
5 |
4 |
| Failure to slow down
in response to environmental conditions |
2.3 |
8.3 |
9 |
7 |
5 |
| Right-of-Way or Headway-Related
Problems |
| Unsafe turning,
primarily turning with insufficient headway |
4.3 |
10.5 |
7 |
10 |
Tie 7 |
| Unsafe passing,
primarily passing with insufficient headway |
0.9 |
13.5 |
8 |
10 |
Tie 7 |
| Driving left of
center or into opposing traffic |
4.8 |
17.0 |
Tie 1 |
16 |
11 |
| Crossing a lane line
near the side of a truck or trailer while passing |
0.5 |
12.1 |
Tie 10 |
22 |
14 |
Unsafe crossing,
primarily crossing traffic with insufficient headway
|
1.8 |
20.0 |
3 |
15 |
10 |
| Lane Change or Lane Position
Problems |
| Merging improperly
into traffic, causing a truck to maneuver or brake quickly |
0.1 |
9.0 |
13 |
2 |
1 |
| Changing lanes
abruptly in front of a truck |
4.4 |
2.4 |
Tie 10 |
8 |
6 |
| Nearly striking the
front or rear of a truck or trailer while changing lanes |
0.4 |
5.4 |
16 |
19 |
12 |
| Miscellaneous |
| Abandoning vehicle in
travel lane/ impeding traffic |
0.6 |
3.3 |
Tie 14 |
26 |
17 |
* Relative rankings for these 17 UDAs based on
original Stuster rankings.
Of initial interest is the relatively low percentage of total
car-truck crashes represented by any single UDA. If the weighted GES
data are accurate, the seven highest frequency UDAs each represent
between 2–6 percent of total car-truck crashes. Of the eight matched
UDAs ranked by the experts in the top half of their rankings, four were
present in 2.2–5.2 percent of total car-truck crashes, but each of the
remaining four were present in fewer than 1 percent of car-truck
crashes.
Again note that some of the UDAs from past research that would be
expected to have the largest crash frequencies (e.g., "driving
inattentively") were not analyzed in this study. In addition, some of
the estimates provided may be somewhat conservative, given the
difficulty in specifically defining the UDAs with GES variables.
However, at least some of the higher ranked UDAs from past research are
included here, and even some of those are present in a small percentage
of the total car-truck crashes.
Interestingly, most of these UDAs have high severity levels. When
researchers examined the sample of all 1999 GES car-truck crashes, 5.5
percent involved serious or fatal injuries. Twelve of the 17 UDAs in
this table were of high severity. The experts who provided the ranked
UDAs in the past study might have been more influenced by severity than
by crash frequency.
Finally, to examine a relative ranking of these UDAs, a rank from 1
(highest frequency) to 17 (lowest frequency) was assigned, along with a
similar severity-based ranking based on the percent of serious/fatal
crashes. As shown in the "combined GES rank" column, these two ranks are
combined to provide an overall GES ranking. For comparison, the experts'
rankings are shown in the last two columns, with the final column
showing the experts' relative rankings for these 17 UDAs. Although there
are some similarities between the combined GES rankings and the expert
relative rankings, there are some obvious differences. For example,
while "driving left of center or into opposing traffic" is one of the
two top-ranked UDAs based on the GES data, the experts would rank it
eleventh. The experts would rank "merging improperly into traffic,
causing a truck to maneuver or brake quickly" first, but this same UDA
was ranked thirteenth based on the GES data. "Failure to slow down in a
construction zone" would be ranked third by the experts, but seventeenth
(last) by the GES data.
Critical Combinations of Crash and Roadway Location Types
Of the 462 possible combinations of facility type, location type, and
crash type, 343 had sufficient data for analysis. Table 4 presents the
combinations, crash frequencies, and total harm cost for the top 20
combinations. Those with total harm cost above $18.57 million (i.e., the
top 15) were at least 2 standard deviations above the average total harm
cost of $3.30 million per combination.
Table 4. Combinations of facility type,
crash type, and location type showing highest total harm cost
(North Carolina car-truck crashes, 1994.97)
| Facility Type |
Crash Type |
Location Type |
Crash Frequency |
Total Harm Cost ($) |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Angle |
Stop/yield intersections |
402 |
70,998,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Head-on |
Segment |
92 |
63,722,000 |
| Urban interstate/freeways/expressways |
Angle |
Segment |
523 |
43,760,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Angle |
Segment |
291 |
35,162,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Left-turn |
Stop/yield intersections |
280 |
34,926,000 |
| Rural principal arterial undivided |
Head-on |
Segment |
36 |
27,785,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Rear-end |
Segment |
438 |
27,526,000 |
| Rural interstate/ freeways |
Angle |
Segment |
217 |
25,770,000 |
| Rural principal arterial undivided |
Rear-end |
Segment |
181 |
25,708,000 |
| Rural interstate/ freeways |
Rear-end |
Segment |
390 |
23,699,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Left-turn |
Driveway |
259 |
23,067,000 |
| Rural interstate/ freeways |
Sideswipe |
Segment |
592 |
22,993,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Angle |
Driveway |
141 |
19,872,000 |
| Rural principal arterial undivided |
Angle |
Segment |
99 |
19,802,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Rear-end |
Driveway |
228 |
18,913,000 |
| Urban interstate/ freeways/ expressways
|
Rear-end |
Segment |
722 |
18,543,000 |
| Other rural major roads undivided |
Sideswipe |
Segment |
382 |
15,631,000 |
| Rural principal arterial undivided |
Angle |
Stop/yield intersections |
60 |
15,348,000 |
| Urban collectors/ minor arterials |
Angle |
Stop/yield intersections |
112 |
15,099,000 |
| Rural principal arterial undivided |
Sideswipe |
Segment |
122 |
14,653,000 |
The highest total harm cost for car-truck crashes, and thus perhaps
the most important target for intervention, were angle crashes at
stop/yield intersections on "other rural major roads, undivided." This
road class includes minor arterials and major collectors. Sorting the
data indicated that this facility class is the most prevalent in both
the top 20 and in those above 2 standard deviations. "Rural principal
arterial, undivided" is the second most prevalent facility type, and
rural and urban interstates are present, but in lower numbers. The
predominant crash type is "angle collisions." (For interstates and other
divided roads, this category often includes lane change or merging
collisions at some angle greater than what would be considered a
sideswipe crash.) The total harm methodology successfully combined
frequency and severity, as indicated by the inclusion of some head-on
and rear-end categories in this top 20.
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Conclusions and Recommendations
The findings of the fault and UDA analyses differ somewhat from
earlier findings. Although part of this difference could be because data
from only one State (North Carolina) were used in two of these analyses
(because no national database provided the necessary variables), it is
more likely that the primary differences are a result of the different
databases used (fatal crashes vs. total crashes and expert opinion vs.
crash analyses).
-
Unlike earlier fatality-based analyses in which the car driver was
found to be primarily at fault, (indicating a need to target car
drivers for interventions), these findings clearly indicate a need to
target truck driver actions, as well (e.g., rear-end crashes).
-
It is difficult to identify individual UDAs that account for a
significant proportion of car-truck crashes, and the UDAs identified
and ranked by experts do not agree very well with crash-based
analysis, at least for the subset of UDAs where NASS-GES data could be
used. This suggests that if such UDA-based findings are to be used to
develop new treatments or target existing treatments, improved methods
to identify UDAs for both car and truck drivers are needed.
-
It is possible to identify critical combinations of roadway type,
roadway location, and crash type that produce the most total harm.
This allows researchers to combine crash frequency and severity in the
same analysis, and identify important roadway types, locations, and
crash types. This type of analysis could be expanded to include
additional factors such as pre-crash maneuvers, driver
characteristics, and others to target existing treatments better or
identify specific areas where new treatments need to be
developed.
The results of this effort indicate high-impact areas for future
countermeasure research related to car-truck collisions. Driver,
vehicle, or roadway treatment programs for truck drivers should address
backing, rear-end, right- and left-turn, and sideswipe collisions,
because truck drivers are more likely to be at fault in such crashes.
Similar treatment programs for car drivers should focus on head-on and
angle collisions. More research is needed into the driver- and
roadway-related causes for these critical crash types.
Unfortunately, there is no strong consensus between the current
crash-based findings and the earlier expert rankings of the most
important UDAs, although both sources agree that crashes involving
vehicles that do not stop at a sign/signal and crashes involving unsafe
speed are important targets. More crash-based validation of expert
opinions is needed; this will require defining additional critical UDAs
(e.g., "inattention") in a crash database. Finally, based on the harm
analysis, there is a need to explore driver, vehicle, or roadway
programs aimed at rural undivided roads and, in particular, to
intersection and segment angle and merging crashes and head-on crashes.
Interstate/freeway treatments aimed at reducing car-truck crashes should
concentrate on elements that affect lane-change/merging crashes and
rear-end crashes.
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References
-
Traffic Safety Facts 1998— Large Trucks,
Publication No. DOT HS 808 952, U.S. Department of Transportation,
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Washington, DC,
1999.
-
Blower, D. The Relative Contribution of Truck
Drivers and Passenger Vehicle Drivers to Truck-Passenger Vehicle
Traffic Crashes, Publication No. UMTRI-98-25, University of
Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor, MI, June
1998.
-
Stuster, J. The Unsafe Driving Acts of
Motorists in the Vicinity of Large Trucks, U.S. Department of
Transportation, Federal Highway Administration, Washington, DC,
February 1999.
-
Kostyniuk, L.P., F.M. Streff, and J. Zarajsek.
Identifying Unsafe Driver Actions that Lead to Fatal Car-Truck
Crashes, AAA Foundation for Traffic Safety, Washington, DC, April
2002.
-
Blincoe, L., A. Seay, E. Zaloshnja, T. Miller, E.
Romano, S. Luchter, and R. Spicer. The Economic Impact of Motor
Vehicle Crashes 2000, Publication No. DOT HS 809 446, U.S.
Department of Transportation, National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration, Washington, DC, May 2002.
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For More Information
This research was conducted under the HSIS project by F.M. Council
and D.L. Harkey of the University of North Carolina (UNC) Highway Safety
Research Center, D.T. Nabors of BMI, A.J. Khattak of the UNC Department
of City and Regional Planning, and Y.M. Mohamedshah of LENDIS. The full
report, Examination of 'Fault,' 'Unsafe Driving Acts,' and 'Total
Harm' in Car-Truck Collisions, can be found in Transportation
Research Record 1830 (TRB, 2003).
For more information about HSIS, contact Carol Tan, HSIS Program
Manager, HRDS, 202–493–3315, carol.tan@fhwa.dot.gov.
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